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Longtime backup Brian Hoyer will take his place a day later than originally planned. Before Newton tested positive, the Chiefs were favored by 6. With Newton in there, bettors were on the Chiefs with 64 percent of the handle and 66 percent of the bets. With Newton on the shelf, bettors are even higher on Kansas City, with 87 percent of the handle and 79 percent of the bets placed on the home team.
So far, the Chiefs are against the spread while the Patriots are also against the spread. Belichick is against the spread in its last nine games as an underdog. So, we know he is at his best in these situations. We will more than likely see a lot of Rex Burkhead and James White attacking the Chiefs poor run defense and cover linebackers.
Gambling problem? Eligibility restrictions apply. See draftkings. ET in Week 4. Lines last updated Friday at 10 a. Regardless of the outcome of your bet, you win with a touchdown scored by any team. Terms and conditions apply. Bet now! The Chiefs are prohibitive favorites at Kansas City is a 6. The Patriots are still viewed as a yardstick team but the Chiefs have too many weapons for the Pats defense to hold down.
This is a tough one at Take the OVER Want action on this NFL game? Sign up and bet at BetMGM. Gannett may earn revenue from audience referrals to betting services. Newsrooms are independent of this relationship and there is no influence on news coverage. If we were to rewind six months or so, I would have had a hard time saying Super Bowl LV would be happening today.
The deck was stacked against the NFL… you know, pandemic and all. Yet, here we are — on schedule — with the biggest sports betting event of the year about to go down and all of us making our Super Bowl 55 predictions. The NFL deserves a round of applause for making everything work with little disruption along the way. One of the most decorated Super Bowl traditions is the extensive and exquisite Super Bowl prop bet menu, which ranges from coin flip results to who will score the last touchdown and everything else in between.
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The largest margin of victory predicted was 24 points Sixty-four of the experts have the Chiefs covering that spread, while 30 say the Buccaneers will cover. Fourteen have it as a push. Sixty-six of the experts in this pool have the game going over that total, while 36 like the under. Four have a push. While the Bucs have improved since, so have the Chiefs. Kansas City wins Barnwell's pick explained Berman's pick explained. But how will their defensive backs hold up against the Chiefs' speed?
I think they'll do just enough. Bucs win That's not surprising, considering he's the quarterback of the team most of our experts picked to win the Super Bowl -- and last season's Super Bowl MVP. Sixty-one of the experts who weighed in on MVP picked Mahomes, Brady was the next-most-common pick, earning 18 votes.
Eight other players earned at least one vote. Odds below are via Caesars Sportsbook by William Hill. Skip to navigation. Kansas City Chiefs. Brady completes Lombardi pass as Bucs party. Tampa Bay Buccaneers. WFT, cheerleaders reach settlement over videos. Wheeler ex-girlfriend addresses alleged assault. Seattle Seahawks. Rootes resigns as Texans' overhaul continues. Houston Texans. Bears hire ex-Packers DC Pettine as senior asst. Chicago Bears. Broncos release CB Bouye one year after trade.
The Buccaneers will already be at home, of course. That means there will be no media day, no daily swarming of team hotels and no conventional parties. Regardless, this will be a supersize game featuring the quarterback who has won more Super Bowls than any other player in history Brady, six and his possible successor Mahomes, seeking his second at age Reason for hope: Simply put, the Chiefs are rolling.
They beat the Cleveland Browns in the divisional round, even after Mahomes was put into concussion protocol. And on Sunday, they snapped the Bills' eight-game winning streak. Watching them go up and down the field on Buffalo's defense, and then largely stifle an MVP candidate in Bills quarterback Josh Allen , you know they have pulled it together at just the right moment. Brady will bring that talent, along with an offensive line that kept him mostly clean against the Packers, to Raymond James Stadium.
The Chiefs' only relevant loss during the regular season was by a score of , the highest-scoring game against them this season. The other was a Week 17 game featuring backups. The Buccaneers are one team that brings the kind of offense that could outscore them in a shootout. How the Chiefs win: One of the defining characteristics of the Chiefs under Mahomes is that they have never been out of a game, no matter how poorly they might start. So even if the Buccaneers open an early lead, the Chiefs will be just a few strikes from getting back in the game.
But the key will be whether they can hold off the Buccaneers' defensive front. If they can give Mahomes enough time, he'll carve up their secondary and just pour too many points on the fire. Reason for hope: The Buccaneers have scored at least 30 points in each of their past six games, averaging If nothing else, that puts them in position to compete with the Chiefs if the game turns into a shootout.
The Chiefs are averaging about 25 points per game over that span. It's reasonable to expect a good plan for the Chiefs' offense from defensive coordinator Todd Bowles, who once worked for Chiefs coach Andy Reid when both were with the Philadelphia Eagles. And while home field was not much of an advantage in , it's always preferable to avoid travel whenever possible.
Reason for concern: Brady threw three interceptions against the Packers and a total of 12 in the regular season, the most for him in a season since Obviously, the Buccaneers overcame those mistakes on Sunday, but giving the Chiefs extra possessions doesn't seem like a good idea. As wild as it sounds, the Buccaneers will need Brady to tighten it up for the Super Bowl. How the Bucs win: The Buccaneers have two paths to victory. Along one, they'll execute a heroic game plan from Bowles and slow down Mahomes in a way almost no other opponent has in the past three seasons.
Along the other, they'll win a shootout of massive proportions. We're talking about a type of game. They can do it, and the Chiefs' defense is capable of allowing it. Mahomes led the league in QBR against the blitz The problem for the Bucs?
Brady ranked 30th in QBR when under pressure this season. That's in stark contrast to his No. An obvious reason: He has no scrambling ability. So just get rid of the ball quickly, right? Brady hasn't fared that well on quick throws, either. Instead, in Bruce Arians' vertical passing offense, the pressure will be on the Tampa Bay offensive line in the Super Bowl to give Brady the time and space he needs to work. Key matchup: Chiefs safety Tyrann Mathieu vs.
I want to see the post-snap matchup here with Mathieu and Brady. Look for the Chiefs to use late movement to spin Mathieu to the middle of the field as a robber defender. You need that versus Brady to close the second-level windows on crossers and in-breakers. And when Chiefs defensive coordinator Steve Spagnuolo schemes pressure, Brady has to identify Mathieu when he gets loose on edge blitz schemes. X factor: Buccaneers defensive end Jason Pierre-Paul.
I look at Pierre-Paul here because of his ability to win one-on-one pass-rush matchups versus the Chiefs' offensive tackles, who could be down starter Eric Fisher on the left side. You'll see speed to power, counters and juice off the ball. That means Quarters and 2-man two-deep, man-under , with the edge rushers squeezing the pocket to limit Mahomes' ability to throw verticals down the field.
The Chiefs are not known for their defense. This is partly because of how exceedingly well known they are for their offense, but it's also because their defense isn't always very special. It was 13th last year, and it's 21st over the past three years since Mahomes became the starter. But Spagnuolo, the Chiefs' defensive coordinator, has shown an ability to get his side of the ball tuned up for the biggest of games. The Chiefs stymied Tennessee Titans running back Derrick Henry in last year's AFC Championship Game, pitched a fourth-quarter shutout against the San Francisco 49ers in the Super Bowl, held the run-happy Browns to rushing yards in this year's divisional round and confused Allen and the Bills on Sunday to advance to their second straight Super Bowl.
This will be brought up, surely, over the next couple of weeks, but the truth is that experience isn't going to be a factor this much later. What will matter is whether the Chiefs' defense can find a way to get pressure on Brady, whose offensive line has been one of the big stories of this postseason, and whether it can get all of his great receivers covered. The Chiefs will score. This we know. The Bucs' defense is plenty respectable, but no one really slows down Mahomes and the Kansas City offense for long.
Just ask the 49ers, or any other team they've played in the playoffs in the past three years. The question is whether the Chiefs can do enough to keep Brady and the Bucs from scoring -- to keep the game in reach long enough for Mahomes to still win it if they start slow, or to head off any legendary comeback attempts that Tampa Bay's legendary QB might have in mind.
The Super Bowl will be thrilling to watch when the ball is in Kansas City's hands. But what happens when it's in Tampa Bay's hands will decide who wins it. Tampa Bay actually lost the turnover battle on Sunday in Green Bay
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